Is 76ers At +550 To Win The Eastern Conference Good Value?

Is 76ers At +550 To Win The Eastern Conference Good Value?

Can The 76ers Win The Eastern Conference In 2021?

Last week, the Philadelphia 76ers split the series in Toronto and handled the Mavericks at home. Even with the 2-1 result, the Nets were able to beat the Clippers in LA and win their next two, bringing them to within a game of the Sixers in the Atlantic division.

We put out futures odds for the Atlantic division last week, and the Nets’ eight-game winning streak has vaulted them into the pole betting position for the division.

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A recap of the 76ers week

Last Sunday, the Sixers were unable to snag the first of two games against the Raptors in Toronto. Both teams kept it close throughout, but a fourth-quarter surge propelled the Raptors down the stretch and pushed their win streak to four games.

The Sixers held a 92-91 lead with just under nine minutes to go in the fourth before the Raptors went on a 13-2 run with just over two and a half minutes to go. OG Anunoby, Chris Boucher, and Terrence Davis sparked the run, which ultimately ended up giving the Raptors just enough breathing room to close out a safe win. Simmons and Embiid again carried the load, going for a combined 22-28 from the line for 53 total points, 26 rebounds, and 7 assists.

Simmons was much more efficient, going 9-11 while Embiid struggled going 6-20 from the field. Despite the +10 on the glass and +4 on turnover differential, the Sixers shot just 39% from the floor and 30% from deep.

The story here was the insanely efficient shooting of the Raptors, going 49% from the floor and 41% from deep (highlighted by a crazy, banked fadeaway from Fred VanVleet as the shot clock expired). The good news for Philadelphia was that they had Monday off to better prepare for Tuesday night’s rubber match against Toronto.

On Tuesday, the Sixers got their shot at redemption in the rubber match in Toronto, and they didn’t miss. The Sixers took over the game midway through the opening quarter and never looked back. Though the game looked closer on paper, the Sixers led comfortably throughout the game, never leading by less than six at any point past the first quarter.

Philadelphia dominated the boards (+14) and shot a blistering 45% from deep. Though they were -9 in turnover differential, the free-flowing offensive explosion from deep was enough to keep the Sixers in control throughout. Tobias Harris, Furkan Korkmaz, and Shake Milton combined to go 11-21 from three.

Every Sixers starter managed at least five rebounds, and the strong effort on defense contributed well to the Raptors struggles offensively (11-37 from three). Chucking may have worked for the Raptors on Sunday, but it certainly came back to bite them in the turnaround matchup. Though Embiid’s shooting woes continued (3-13 from the field), he was able to knock down 11-12 from the line and still tally 18 points to his name. Simmons was relatively quiet as well on offense, but still contributed nine rebounds and seven assists towards the victory.

Following the split in Toronto, the Sixers returned home Thursday to face the Mavericks, fresh off their thrilling victory over Boston on Tuesday (highlighted by a game-winning three from Luka Doncic). The Sixers were again able to pull ahead in the first and use a strong performance from three (41%) to comfortably win against the Mavericks. Though the three-point volume (12-29) was nowhere near Tuesday’s output, it aided in preserving the Sixers’ offensive efficiency.

The most notable point of this game was the Sixers defense. For the game, the Sixers had a +11 in turnover differential, giving them a +12 in points off turnovers. Both teams had similar shooting splits, but the biggest story in the shooting department was points in the paint (+24 differential for the Sixers) and fast-break points (+17 differential for the Sixers).

For the third straight game, Joel Embiid struggled from the field (5-20) but again made up for it with a solid performance from the line (11-12). Both teams went heavy with rotations, as the benches combined for 92 points (46 each) in the game. For the Sixers, it was a crucial, non-taxing win to set them up nicely for Saturday’s home game against the Cavs.

Up next

Saturday, the Sixers host the Cavs, who are riding a two-game winning streak, following a ten-game losing streak. On Monday, the Sixers face the Pacers in the third game of a four-game home stretch, followed by Utah on Wednesday. After that, the Sixers will have eight games off for the All-Star break to rest and reset before the second-half push.

The Sixers are +550 to win the East

According to the PlaySugarHouse and BetRivers casinos, the 76ers are Sixers +550 to Win the Eastern Conference.

To me, this is a good value bet at this point. Last season was a disaster, but at this point, the Sixers look like the second-best team in the East. Regular season is hard to gauge for assessing a team’s true chops, but we have the 2019 playoffs as an example of what this team can look like at their peak. With Brooklyn’s current roster still new and their defense still bad, it’s an intriguing potential playoff showdown between these two teams.

For the value, as long as the Sixers can stay healthy, this would provide a good return.

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