These Are The Best NFL Week 8 Prop Bets For Sunday

These Are The Best NFL Week 8 Prop Bets For Sunday

Week 8 NFL Prop Picks

Welcome back to player prop picks for Week 8 with DraftKings PA betting lines. Last week, we went 2-4 on the player prop lines and sure things. We smashed our Teddy Bridgewater Under 57.5 rushing yards prop, as well as the Deshaun Watson to have more passing yards than Aaron Rodgers. The others fell flat.

Two other Packers tight ends caught touchdowns and neither was Tonyan. Mike Williams had one catch for four yards in a game where Justin Herbert threw for a career-high 347 yards. It was truly odd that a starting receiver had just four yards in a game like that, but here we are. Mahomes didn’t run at all in Denver because the Chiefs were blowing them out early, and Tim Patrick fell three yards short of his yardage prop due to injury.

It was an unfortunate week again. This week, we’ll be pounding the unders with bad weather on the horizon. It’s time to get back on track and expand upon our winning record. This week’s focus will be on the bad weather games and more obvious plays. It’s time to get back to the basics.

Results so far this season

For the season, we are 23-19 on prop lines and sure things. We’ve still only hit longshot bets in weeks one and two, but we are due for one soon.

2020 Standard prop line record (Prop Lines & Sure Things): 23-19

2020 Unit standing (Longshots included): -10

Without further adieu, let’s get into the props for Week 8.

All odds according to DraftKings PA Online Sportsbook (also, a “unit” represents a bet at a designated amount, in line with your bankroll. One Unit should be anywhere from 1-2.5% of your bankroll for conservative bettors and 2.5-5% of your bankroll for more aggressive bettors).

DraftKings Sportsbook Bonus $1000

Prop line bets

Our Coin flips for the week are back. Here’s the best on the board for Week 8.

Philip Rivers under 274.5 passing yards -112

Rivers hasn’t been very good this season. In fact, he’s only gone over 250 yards twice this season (Jaguars and Bengals) and he’s faced five bad pass defenses. The only reason Rivers went over 250 in those games was because the Colts were trailing considerably in both games. This week, the Colts face the Lions, who are awful against the run. You can bank on the Colts relying on their run game and defense in this one.

Baker Mayfield under 237.5 passing yards -120

The reports in this game are alarming from a weather outlook perspective. As of Friday, the reports are that winds will be anywhere from 23-28 miles per hour with gusts up to 40 miles per hour. As one might imagine, when you get winds over 12-15 MPH, the ball starts to drift far off target, turning balls from a generous catch radius into balls landing 10-15 yards outside that radius.

Balls will hang on throws into the wind, sail on throws with the wind, and cut and dive with a crosswind. Pound the under in this game, especially considering how bad Baker is in the short passing game. Lacking good YAC targets means extra servings for Kareem Hunt out of the backfield.

Kareem Hunt over 25.5 receiving yards -112

As we mentioned in the last prop, the weather is going to be a major factor. Hunt is already a presence in the passing game, but with the lack of passing expected in this game, the attempts that will come should be short. Hunt, maybe the tight ends, and Jarvis Landry will likely be the majority of targets and receiving yards from Baker, so this one seems sound.

Sure Things

The “Sure Things” are exactly that. Don’t overthink them.

Preston Williams over 2.5 receptions -167

This one appears to be simple. Williams is a primary receiver, Parker will draw Jalen Ramsey in coverage, and the Dolphins are going to have to pass the ball in this game. There’s not much to it aside from that. Tua is expected to throw around 250 yards. We have to expect that Parker being locked down is going to result in targets going to Preston Williams and a select few others. We only need three receptions here. It’s that simple.

Donovan Peoples-Jones under 25.5 receiving yards -112

DPJ had a big game last week following the early exit of OBJ and a negative game script. This week will be very different. Sure, the line is low, but what are you expecting here? DPJ is a deep ball guy. The deep balls aren’t happening in this game, and Baker Mayfield isn’t going to be looking his way when he needs someone to make a great YAC play around the line of scrimmage.

Josh Jacobs over 16.5 receiving yards -112

Josh Jacobs falls into the same reasoning as Kareem Hunt with this pick. If you believe the process in that one, jump on with this one too.

Longshots

Time to chase the dragon. We’ve hit two this year so far.

Lamar Jackson to score first touchdown +1000

The Steelers have the best-run defense in the NFL, but remember that’s against standard rushing offenses. This is a game with critical importance to the Ravens, as a loss puts them two games back and needing a tiebreaker win against the Steelers in their second meeting to win the division. That being said, Lamar has really only rushed in important games this season. Getting off to the right start in a critical rivalry game is paramount.

Damien Harris to score a touchdown +260

Harris doesn’t have a touchdown yet this season, although, it’s fair to point out he’s only played in a couple games. Harris will likely serve as the lead back against a team that isn’t good at stopping the run. I love his odds to get his first NFL touchdown this week in a bad weather, run-heavy game.

George Kittle to score first touchdown +1050

The Seahawks are completely dreadful against the pass this season. Kittle is the top target in the offense. This one is simple. We are hoping the 49ers find the end zone first and use their X-factor to get them there.

Howitzer shot of the week

Tyler Kroft to score first touchdown +2200

Around the goal line, especially in bad weather with a bad run game, this seems like a good dice roll.

Good luck this week!